BSPEARS101506ring_1.jpg
No ring? Well, the engagement band's there, but ...

My guess is that Britney and Kevin aren't just experiencing a "rough patch" as some people like to call it ... these two are headed for a break up! We were watching Brit in Vegas last week as she stayed at the Venetian, going for spa treatments and partying at Tao. And our photogs are speculating that Britney wasn't just "getting her groove on" in Vegas as much as she was getting away from Kevin and competing with his single party life back in LA.

Kevin Federline KFederlineBlak1012106_1.jpg
Kev lookin' "gansta'" last night in LA

Don't forget, these people play out their marital troubles in the press and they're always thinking about how to use the media to hurt each other when they're fighting.

Here are the facts ...